Plan B is, in terms of execution, trivial to accomplish (for the local firm) and an almost universally available option and will remain so for awhile—but not indefinitely. The easiest way for a firm to enter new territory is to take over an existing, up-and-running, operation. It’s true in manufacturing and it’s true in Law Land.

The acquirer knows to an almost irrebuttable level of confidence that the lawyers and groups acquired have a solid track record of being able to work together, that virtually all their clients will migrate with them, and that transaction costs, while still material, will be strikingly lower on a “per lawyer” basis than achieving the same growth by ones and twos and threes.

Yet we all know the pride independent firms take in their very independence. Occasionally it’s even warranted.

Plan A is hard.

Maintaining your independence not only requires being resolute in the face of what is guaranteed to be a long parade of blandishments from outside, but (and here’s the hard part) it actually requires you to articulate in a succinct, persuasive, and durable way why your firm will be better off independent than with a far wider footprint. And make sure the reasons underlying that belief remain true. Here, playing the kinder and gentler local rate card game is not, I suspect, an enduring strategy—at least not all by itself. Lower rates of course bring consequences of their own, which generally involve topics that your partners, focused on clients’ being amenable to their nice economical pricing, prefer not to think about.

Like lower compensation, less ammunition in the war for lateral talent, flight risk of existing talent, and clients’ viewing your firm as delivering quality commensurate with price—that is to say, below average on both scores.

Pursuing Plan A means preparing for a long war. Here’s what to look for:

  • It will be, as they say, a ground game. You’ll need to really and truly maximize your investment in your local networks. Love every single client as an individual.
  • Double down on getting that special intrinsically local knowledge for which there is no substitute and to which there is no shortcut: not just the judges, but the county, city, and state officials—and their staff members and their staff members’ assistants.
  • Be savvy about recruiting, not just in terms of where you fish but in terms of what you can offer. Hint: It won’t be every last dollar, so it better be something else compelling. Figure it out.
  • Finally, take small comfort in the statistic that 98+% of lateral partner moves are within one city or at most one metropolitan area. This won’t be the Huns coming in multitudes. What you have to fear, however, is not the first wave. It’s that porous membrane. Who’s “local” and who’s “not” will be a concept drained of meaning.

As at the outset, the Pacific Northwest is fascinating, changing before our very eyes, and understandably a magnet for all kinds of talent: From lawyers to software engineers to baristas. Yet it’s also a case study of what’s happening in every region of the US.

If you haven’t been, I highly recommend a visit. You might learn something.

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